Conservative blogger Soren Dayton uses a poll about the Libby commutation to note a trend that should disturb Republicans. Comparing ideological self-identification ("conservative"-"moderate"-"liberal") to party ID, he notes:
As Dayton notes, caveats apply. Bush hasn't helped the right's numbers, and it's plausible that they could recover after he's gone -- though given the GOP's current commitment to a war-and-terror strategy, they might not. At any rate, this is not a good sign for Republicans.
The GOP is not appealing to moderates at this moment while half of self-identified Democrats are moderates. That should scare us.
- The GOP and conservatives are, basically, the same with Republicans being 30% and conservatives are 29%
- Liberals are, however, only half the self-identifying Democrats with self-IDing Dems being 40%, while liberals only 19%
- In other words, 50% or so of self-identified moderates feel comfortable identifying as Democrats.
- In other words, almost no moderates are identifying as Republicans.