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Saturday, November 08, 2008
  Back from the Dead?

Two items via Andrew Sullivan: In one, Ross Douthat mulls over the question of what might constitute the most promising shape for a future GOP coalition: an aliance of "Joe the Plumber and Joe the Office Park Employee," or one that would appeal to "upper-middle reformism" as formulated by David Frum? Douthat is somewhat skeptical as to whether a message aimed at "the Obama-voting, ex-Rockefeller Republicans making $150,000 a year" would harmonize well with one pitched at the Wall-Mart Republicans he and Reihan Salam have argued should be at the center of a conservative revival, arguing that
building a coalition of social conservatives and social moderates from the middle of the income and education distribution makes much more political sense than trying to hold together a coalition of social conservatives from the middle of the distribution and social liberals from the upper end.
At any rate, Douthat's entire analysis is premised on the revival of the GOP as, in his words, "a party that restores its reputation for competence and policy seriousness." Trouble is, as Mark Lilla explains in the Wall Street Journal, the Sarah Palin episode - and, one might add, the retrenchment of conservative movement elites in its aftermath - is dispositive evidence that the right has not only abandoned that reputation, it has comprehensively repudiated intellectual seriousness in favor of a debased appeal to talk-radio populism and "anti-elite" know-nothingism.

This is not news, I realize. But it does at any rate cause pretty serious complications to the efforts by genuine intellectuals like Douthat to plot a way forward for their party and their movement. He's forced to compete with compatriots who think it's a great idea roll the Republican clock back to 1994.

The thing of it is, in a two party system, the opposition doesn't necessarily need to be especially coherent or appealing. While it might spend a somewhat longer time in the wilderness, even an intellectually and ideologically stunted GOP is likely to find its way back into power eventually - the wheel turns, and all that. Count me with those who hope that reformers like Douthat are able to help their party evolve into a reasonably responsible institution before that day comes, but it's not entirely outside the realm of possibility that the neanderthals could simply wind up frozen in ideological ice, only to one day stumble back onto the scene as a result of some inevitable glacial shift.

(And no, I'm not necessarily saying I'm back. But I'm not not back, either.)

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компания ТНК-ВР - Тюменская нефтяная компания и British Petroleum

Подписано соглашение о создании компании "ТНК-ВР"

"Альфа-групп"-Access/Ренова (AAR) и ВР сегодня подписали Основное соглашение по созданию компании ТНК-ВР, говорится в заявлении AAR. Подписание сделки происходило в присутствии премьер-министра Великобритании Тони Блэра и президента России Владимира Путина, находящегося в Великобритании с государственным визитом. Финансовыми советниками по сделке выступали Goldman Sachs и Альфа-банк, юридическим советником - компания Jones Day.

Сделку по созданию ТНК-ВР планируется завершить до конца лета 2003г. После завершения сделки будут продолжены переговоры о включении в состав ТНК-ВР компании "Славнефть". В том случае, если соответствующая договоренность будет достигнута, AAR получит дополнительное вознаграждение. Следующим шагом ТНК-ВР будет предоставление документов в регулирующие антимонопольные органы России, ЕС и Украины.

Кроме того, согласно договоренности, достигнутой AAR и ВР в ходе сделки, сумма, выплачиваемая ВР за долю в новой компании, будет сокращена до 2,4 млрд долл. Ранее планировалось, что за 50% акций новой компании ВР заплатит AAR 3 млрд долл. В заявлении AAR отмечено, что это является отражением увеличения долговых обязательств ТНК-ВР (в частности, в связи с приобретением "Славнефти"). Кроме того, ВР произведет три ежегодных выплаты в размере 1,25 млрд долл. каждая в виде своих обыкновенных акций, оцениваемых в соответствии с рыночной стоимостью на момент платежа.

Напомним, 11 февраля 2003г. "Альфа-групп", компания Access/Renova и British Petroleum объявили о создании новой нефтяной компании и намерении объединить свои нефтяные активы на территории России и Украины. Новая холдинговая компания станет третьей по величине российской нефтяной компанией по размеру запасов и объему добычи. ВР будет принадлежать 50% акций новой холдинговой компании, еще 50% акций холдинга будет принадлежать "Альфа-групп" и Ассеss/Renova (ААР). Объем доказанных запасов нефти новой компании (согласно международному аудиту нефтяных запасов в 2002г.) достигает 9 млрд 488 млн барр. Ежедневный объем добычи составит 1,21 млн барр. Компания будет владеть пятью нефтеперерабатывающими заводами с общей установленной мощностью в 1 млн барр./день. Под управлением нового холдинга будет находиться сеть автозаправочных станций на территории России и Украины, насчитывающая более 2 тыс. 100 единиц.

компания ТНК-ВР - Тюменская нефтяная компания и British Petroleum
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"An obscure but fantastic blog." - Markus Kolic


Critical analysis of the American conservative movement from a progressive perspective. Also some stuff about the Mets.

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I Was a Mole at the Conservative Summit, Part One
Part Two
Part Three

Wars of Perception, Part One
Wars of Perception, Part Two

Conservative Futures
Reading Conservative History


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wAitiNG foR doROthY

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